COVID-19 INFLATION UPDATE - FREE WHITE PAPER

The COVID-19 pandemic is going to influence future inflation and in a very complex way. In 2020 inflation will fall to near zero, but after 2021, it will rise above the 2% target. It may well spike much higher later in the decade and could precipitate a deflationary crash. The effects of COVID-19 could be felt for years. Governments are currently shouldering the major cost of COVID-19, but it may be ordinary people who bear the burden long-term.

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Measurement issues

Calculating inflation rates is difficult. It involves many decisions about coverage, calculation method and substitutions, that can all affect the final numbers as can political pressure.

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Causes of inflation

The main existing theories about the cause of inflation are: increases in the money supply, population growth and cost-push and demand-pull theories. NEW: Inflationary Wave Theory.

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Deflation

Why deflation is regarded as such a problem. The key concepts of good, bad and benign inflation. Evaluation of the deflation in the 1930s and in Japan's "lost decades".

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The impact of inflation

How inflation in the current climate is acting like a conveyor belt transferring wealth from savers, bond holders and pensions to that of debtors. A key beneficiary is government.

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Inflation Matters book

The Inflation Matters book is a comprehensive guide to inflation. It reveals Inflationary Wave Theory and how the world is about to enter a long period of near-zero inflation.

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About the author

Inflation Matters was written in 2015 by Pete Comley.
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